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Third Balkan War on the Horizon

January 12, 2009

Source: http://de-construct.net/e-zine/?p=4298

If the UN and the EU fail to seriously address the issue of Albanian land-grabbing terrorism, the malignancy will spread and grip not only all of Serbia but the entire Balkans. Albanian separatist-terrorist movement will not be satiated with the secession of Kosovo and Metohija province from Serbia, but it will extend its tentacles to rob parts of FYR of Macedonia, Montenegro, Greece and south-eastern Serbia. That will inevitably lead to armed conflicts, which is an introduction to the Third Balkan War. History has shown that the borders in the Balkans were never changed by peaceful means, but through the long and difficult wars.

This bleak projection was expressed in the interview given to Revija 92 by Professor Dr. Radoslav Gaćinović, scientific advisor to the Institute for Political Studies in Belgrade and the international terrorism expert.

Professor Dr. Radoslav Gaćinović is the scientific advisor of the Institute for Political Studies in Belgrade and the international expert for security and counter-terrorism. He defended his dissertation thesis fifteen years ago at the Faculty of Law in Belgrade, on the topic “International terrorism and security of Yugoslavia”. He is the author of a number of books, such as “Countering diversion activities”, “Terrorism and propaganda”, “How to fight against terrorism”, “Contemporary terrorism”, “Violence in Yugoslavia”, “Seizing Kosovo and Metohija,” “Terrorism”, “Anti-terrorism”, “Introduction to the security studies”, and the most recent “Political violence and globalization”.

Q: Will Balkan become a powder keg once again, as Juval Aviv, Israeli Mossad agent recently said?

RG: In the criminal and security terms, Balkan is currently the most unkempt region in Europe. Albanian terrorism simply seeped into every cell of the remaining Serbs in Kosovo and Metohija and they live in total fear. For them, Balkans broke out in flames long time ago.

It is true, however, that Israeli intelligence service monitors the situation in the Balkans and cooperates with Western intelligence services, but the public statements of top information agents are far from the actual situation on the ground. Being that the disintegrating processes in the Balkans have not yet been completed, it is realistic to still expect a number of uncertainties in terms of security.

Q: Will Serbia be the target of terrorist attacks (so-called “Army of the Republic of Kosovo” has taken responsibility for the recent attack on the EULEX office in Priština) or will the Serbs in Kosovo-Metohija continue to be the only targets?

RG: Since Kosovo and Metohija are Serbian territory, Serbia is continuing to be the target of terrorist attacks, and it is also possible that the terrorism expands to Serbia proper. Terrorist activities are unpredictable, terrorism is like a phoenix phenomenon: as soon as you start thinking it’s gone, it reappears.

My assessment is that the main target of attacks in Kosovo-Metohija will be the remaining Serbs until Albanian terrorists establish ethnically clean territory in the entire southern Serbian province. After that, they will attack international security forces if they refuse to serve Shiptar [Kosovo Albanian] separatist-terrorist movement. If EULEX in Kosovo-Metohija really takes its mission seriously and disallows violence against the Serbs and secession of the province, they will be attacked en masse and purged from this region. The recent attack on EULEX headquarters in Priština is only a warning to the UN and EU.

Q: Who is financing the “Army of Republic of Kosovo”?

RG: Financing of the Shiptar [Kosovo Albanian] forces in Kosovo and Metohija was approached in a very responsible manner. Shiptar mafia allocates 125-150 million dollars annually for Kosovo and Metohija seccession, and over 25 million dollars for the so-called “Kosovo Protection Corps”. During the past nine years, the international community has given 2,3 billion euros to Shiptars in Kosovo and Metohija.

Albanian funds “Fatherland Calling”, “Freedom for the People”, “Kosova Fund”, etc. are very active organizations worldwide and their only task is to collect as much money as possible for secession of Kosovo province. In addition, Republic of Serbia owns around 220 billion dollars’ value in Kosovo-Metohija, but unfortunately Shiptars have placed that money in the service of an “independent state of Kosovo”. Behind these formations and all activities of Shiptar political elites stands primarily United States and those countries which have recognized their unilateral act of secession, i.e. those who are snatching 15 percent of Serbian territory.

Q: What is their ultimate goal?

RG: Albanian separatist-terrorist movement represents danger to the security of the Balkans, because they will not be satisfied by the secession of Kosovo and Metohija from Serbia alone. In the first stage, they will exercise all kinds of activities to create the “greater Kosovo” out of parts of FYR of Macedonia, Montenegro and south-east Serbia.

After that, they will most likely form some type of union with Albania. In this case, the territory under the Albanian control would be the size of Bosnia and Herzegovina, or around 50,000 square meters. Creation of such Albanian state in the Balkans would encourage further ethnic arrogance of the Albanians. This will be the source of an open clash with Serbia or any of these other countries, which would inevitably lead to the Third Balkan War.

This is a warning to the UN and EU to seriously address Albanian land-grabbing issue in the Balkans. And also to all the political elites in Serbia, that the numbers in the state army must be kept up to the necessary levels, because the disintegration processes have not even started, and history testifies that borders in the Balkans were never changed by the peaceful means, but through the long and difficult wars.

Q: Is the fear that terrorism will take hold here justified and how can that be prevented?

RG: Serbia has a strategy of deterring and response strategy. Strategy of deterring means a very respectable military force, trained and equipped with modern weapons and equipment, which will not attack anyone, but with its strength it will represent a deterrence factor to potential attackers, while, at the same time, it will also be a factor of stability in the Balkans. That presupposes total political consensus when it comes to national interests and a very wise foreign policy. A response strategy includes the state’s ability for resolute and swift response by all the allowed and available means in the case of terrorist attack.

Serbia will Never Enter the EU

Q: Will Belgrade become the target of Shiptar terrorists?

RG: They don’t want to come to Belgrade to commit terrorist acts. There is, however, danger of members of al-Qaeda doing it in their name, or the members of other Islamic terrorist organizations.

Q: Are Albanians in Belgrade lying in wait?

RG: The majority of Albanians who live in Serbia proper are economically well off. They have their own trades and shops, and some own major businesses, so they are seemingly indifferent to the political situation in the Balkans, but they very much support the general interests of their national community. Regarding Shiptars in Belgrade, no one is so naive to cut the branch on which he sits comfortably.

Q: Recently, Shiptar hackers attacked the web site of Raska-Prizren Diocese [Kosovo-Metohija and Raska region], where they glorified Islam and “united Albanian states”. What is behind that provocation?

RG: That is another method of intimidating Serbs remaining in Kosovo and Metohija and the Eastern Orthodox clergy. Cyber-terrorism in a very cruel way reminds Serbs that the events of the March 17 can be repeated and that they are unwanted in the province.

Q: Is this situation in Kosovo and Metohija slowing down Serbia’s joining the European Union?

RG: Serbia will never enter the EU and there is a reason for that. In a letter Willy Wimmer had sent to the German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder in 2000, as the President of the Parliamentary Assembly of the OSCE, under the point no. 8, he stresses that Serbia must remain permanently excluded from the European development in order to secure unobstructed American military presence in the Balkans.

Americans, in fact, are seizing parts of Serbia in order to compensate for the “error” of General Eisenhower from the Second World War, to have American soldiers stationed on the stolen Serbian territory.

In order for Serbia to enter the EU, it must have good neighborly relations with all the EU member states. Since almost all of them have recognized the independence of Kosovo, before entering the EU Serbia would also have to recognize the secession and to establish diplomatic relations with that so-called state.

No Serb will ever have either the legality or legitimacy to do that. I would replace the political slogan “Europe has no alternative” with the desire of the majority of Serbian citizens: “Sovereignty of Serbia has no alternative.”

Muslim Bosnia and Kosovo Province Seething with Islamic Terrorists

Q: A large number of Islamic fanatics remained in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Will they join their Shiptar equivalents?

RG: Mujahedeens which the UN calls “God’s lunatics” have stayed on to live in Bosnia after the war ended. There are currently around 30,000 of them. Reports by the international security forces stationed in Bosnia claim that more than 50 percent of the members of the Muslim military forces are linked with mujahedeens. Because of these trends, Muslim part of Bosnia must be under permanent control of the international forces, so that the activities of mujahedeens and the Islamic terrorists are kept under control.

Islamic Route [“transferzala”], which was designed to connect Asia Minor with the most prominent Islamic enclave in Europe — and that is Cazin in Bosnia — represents a great danger to the security of Europe. This route toward Central Europe is an inroad for the smooth influx of the Islamic terrorists, drugs, weapons, white slaves… In order to achieve that goal, Islamic fanatics who stayed in Bosnia will most certainly support all the actions of Kosovo Shiptars.

Sooner or later, Europe will be forced to face the problem coming primarily from Kosovo and Metohija. Unfortunately though, its reaction is already very late.

Americans Pulling all the Strings in the Balkans

Q: Shirley C. DioGuardi, Balkan Affairs Advisor to the Albanian-American Civic League and wife of Joseph DioGuardi, the most fanatical Albanian lobbyist in U.S, is issuing public calls to Albanian leaders in Priština to start the “strong counteroffensive against Serbia”…?

RG: Albanian lobby in United States was founded in January 1989, and called “Albanian-American civic league” (AACL), as a non-profit organization which aims to “actively lobby in the legislative and executive organ of power in the United States”, in accordance with US laws. Its founder and president is the former U.S. congressman of Italian/Albanian origin, Joseph Joe DioGuardi, who opened the “Kosovo issue” before the U.S. Congress in 1985.

Joe DioGuardi and Antal Tom Lantos were in 1989 the first American politicians who visited Albania after the Second World War, and the following year they went to Kosovo and Metohija for the first time, with Bob Dole and six other senators.

Shirley DioGuardi’s activities were intensified in the last ten years. Her latest offensive encourages Shiptar terrorists to organize a new wave of terror. None of Serbian officials has ever said that all Albanians are Islamic fundamentalists. It is difficult to predict the ultimate intentions of Shirley DioGuardi against Serbia and the Balkans, but they certainly do not lead to peace and stability, but to further violence and aggravation of the situation in the Balkans.

It is an indisputable fact that Americans are pulling all the strings of the Balkan crisis and of the region’s instability. However, it is also certain that Russians will not stay on the sidelines either when it comes to Balkans, which is increasingly falling under the sphere of big powers’ interest. Hence, in the coming period political and military instability of the region is inevitable.

Unprecedented Wave of Terror

Q: What are the crimes Albanian terrorists have committed in Kosovo-Metohija?

RG: Since the arrival of KFOR to Kosovo and Metohija (from June 10, 1999) until the end of 2005, armed terrorist groups of Shiptars have committed a total of 7,757 terrorist attacks. In these actions, members of the KLA have killed 1,252 Serbs, wounded 2,237 and kidnapped 1,150. They completely destroyed or visibly damaged 150 Serbian churches and monasteries. 144 prison camps were discovered, in which Serbs were illegally detained, tortured, abused and killed.

Since June 1999 until the end of November 2003, 5,100 of the Serbian gravestones were destroyed in Kosovo-Metohija, value of which is estimated at over 5 million euros. In this period 250,000 non-Albanians were expelled from Kosovo-Metohija province, 107,000 houses and apartments owned by the Serbs were torched or stolen, and their value is estimated at about 5 billion and 350 million euros.

Q: Which country is the leader of Islamic fundamentalism?

RG: In the past 25 years, Saudi Arabia was the biggest driving force of Islamic fundamentalism, and its so-called charitable organizations were channeling hundreds of millions of dollars to jihad and al-Qaeda organizations all over the world, and they are especially interested in the inroads of the “Green Route” (”Zelena transferzala”).
It is estimated that around 70 billion dollars from Saudi Arabia were spent on spreading the Wahhabi sects, fundamentalism and jihad in the world. With this money some 1,500 mosques were built, 210 Islamic centers, 202 Islamic universities and 2,000 schools, all in non-Islamic countries. Only in 1994, according to the estimates of the embassy in Riyadh, Saudi donors have sent 150 million dollars through the Islamic organizations to the Muslims in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Israel’s fait accompli in Gaza

January 4, 2009

By Eric S. Margolis

Al Jazeera

There are two completely different versions of what is currently happening in Gaza.

In the Israeli and North American press version, Hamas – ‘Islamic terrorists’ backed by Iran – have in an unprovoked attack fired deadly rockets on innocent Israel with the intent of destroying the Jewish state.

North American politicians and the media say Israel “has the right to defend itself”.

True enough. No Israeli government can tolerate rockets hitting its towns, even though the casualty totals have been less than the car crash fatalities registered during a single holiday weekend on Israel’s roads.

The firing of the feeble, home-made al-Qassam rockets by Palestinians is both useless and counter-productive.

It damages their image as an oppressed people and gives right-wing Israeli extremists a perfect reason to launch more attacks on the Arabs and refuse to discuss peace.

Israel’s supporters insist it has the absolute right to drop hundreds of tonnes of bombs on ‘Hamas targets’ inside the 360sq km Gaza Strip to ‘take out the terrorists’.

Civilians suffer, says Israel, because the cowardly Hamas hide among them.

Actually, it is more like shooting fish in a barrel.

Omitting facts

As usual, this cartoon-like version of events omits a great deal of nuance and background. While firing rockets at civilians is a crime so, too, is the Israeli blockade of Gaza, which is an egregious violation of international law and the Geneva Conventions.

According to the UN, most of Gaza’s 1.5 million Palestinian refugees subsist near the edge of hunger. Seventy per cent of Palestinian children in Gaza suffer from severe malnutrition and psychological trauma.

Medical facilities are critically short of doctors, personnel, equipment, and drugs. Gaza has quite literally become a human garbage dump for all the Arabs that Israel does not want.

Gaza is one of the world’s most-densely populated places, a vast outdoor prison camp filled with desperate people. In the past, they threw stones at their Israeli occupiers; now they launch home-made rockets.

Call it a prison riot, writ large.

More: http://english.aljazeera.net/focus/war_on_gaza/2009/01/200914102257130539.html

Column One: Hamas’s march to victory

January 4, 2009

By CAROLINE GLICK

Jerusalem Post

George Orwell once quipped, “The quickest way of ending a war is to lose it.”

Since Tuesday it has become clear that the Olmert-Livni-Barak government has decided to end the war with Iran’s Hamas proxy army in Gaza as quickly as possible. That is, the government has decided to lose the war.

Most Israelis are unaware of this state of affairs. In an obvious attempt to bolster the popularity of Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni and Defense Minister Ehud Barak ahead of the February 10 general elections, the local media have spent the six days since the government launched Operation Cast Lead praising the government’s competence and wisdom, and declaring victory over Hamas after every IAF sortie in Gaza.

What the media have declined to notice is that the outcome of the war will not be determined by the number of Hamas buildings the IAF destroys. The outcome of this war – like the outcome of all wars – will be determined by one factor only: Which side will achieve the goals it set out for itself at the outset of the conflict and which side will concede its goals?

Depressingly, the current machinations of the Olmert-Livni-Barak government demonstrate that when the fighting is over, Hamas and not Israel will be able to declare that it accomplished its goals.

Hamas reinstated its attacks against southern Israel on December 19. It did so after a six-month hiatus that it used to restock its arsenals and strengthen its military forces. As it resumed its terror offensive against Israeli cities, Hamas announced that it will continue its current round of terror war until it wins full control over Gaza’s land and sea borders.

More: http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1230733137803&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull

Update on the Former Moldavian SSR Dispute

December 31, 2008

By Michael Averko

The on again/off again former Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic (SSR) settlement talks were restarted with last week’s (Dec. 24) meeting in Tiraspol between the leaders of Moldova and Pridnestrovie (also referred to as Transnistria, Transdniestria, Transdnestr and Trans-Dniester). This meeting resulted in both sides agreeing to hold further talks on “confidence-building measures,” as quoted from the Moldovan state news agency Moldpres.

Some commentary is of the view that this summer’s war in the former Georgian SSR is quite relevant to the previous backtracking of negotiations between Moldova and Pridnestrovie. This opinion stresses the different positions taken by the former Moldavian SSR interlocutors on the mentioned conflict in the Caucasus. Putting aside diplomatic and other posturing, a key obstacle appears to be Pridnestrovie’s government wanting a lesser relationship with Moldova – which seems to be counter to the Moldovan government’s preference. Relative to the Georgian government’s August 7 strike on South Ossetia, Moldova has stated that it does not support military action to resolve the former Moldavian SSR dispute. Moldova’s non-recognition of Abkhaz and South Ossetian independence is currently shared by every country with the exceptions Russia and Nicaragua. Since November 17, 2006, Pridnestrovie, South Ossetia and Abkhazia have recognized each other as independent states. Russia continues to not formally recognize Pridnestrovie’s separation from Moldova. Shortly after its counterattack against Georgia, Russia repeated its support to see a negotiated former Moldavian SSR settlement that results in Pridnestrovie and Moldova as a national entity having regional autonomy.

MORE: http://www.americanchronicle.comhttp://www.americanchronicle.com/authors/view/2713

A Mosque for Slovenia’s Muslims?

December 21, 2008

Written by http://www.daily.pk

Slovenian authorities continue to procrastinate over authorizing the construction of the first mosque in Ljubljana, the Slovenian capital, despite that the Muslim community of Slovenia, which consists of 100,000 people, has been pushing for a mosque to be built for over 40 years.
The Catholic Church called for a referendum on this issue, which was carried out early 2008 and the majority of participants voted that the construction of the mosque should go ahead as planned. However the authorities, so far, have failed to issue the necessary permits required for the construction of the mosque.

In addition, Slovenian fanatics also sent a threatening letter to Slovenian officials warning them of the consequences should they grant Muslims permission to build the mosque and Islamic Cultural Centre. This letter was sent by an anonymous group calling itself ‘Slovenski Orli’ meaning Slovenian Eagles.

Although Muslims in Slovenia have waited many years for the dream of a mosque to be realized, they have not yet lost hope, especially since Muslims all over the world feel that the interfaith talks conducted between Muslim, Catholic, and Protestant leaders on a global scale seem to be bearing fruit.

The Muslim community of Slovenia covers several Slovenian cities including the capital Ljubljana, and Maribor, Koper, Jessenice, and others.

Leader of the Muslim community in Slovenia, Mufti Nedzad Grabus told Asharq Al-Awsat, “We have not lost hope, and we continue to demand our cultural rights, which are guaranteed under the Slovenian constitution, a number of European laws, and by the Universal Declaration for Human Rights.” He added, “Since the door has not been shut completely, and with God’s help it will not be, we will continue to remind them of our demands. It is better for the Slovenian government, and other European governments, to allow Muslim religious and cultural institutions to operate overtly, and not be forced underground.”

The Slovenian Mufti also highlighted the level of sympathy that the Muslim community has received “from the majority of the Slovenian people, and some political and intellectual figures, who are not blinded by bigotry and Islamophobia.” He added, “The referendum proves that the medieval mindset remains amongst a minority, in spite of its influence and grip.” There are over 3000 churches in Slovenia.

“Their reasons [for rejecting the mosque] are weak and founded on hatred. As I said before, it is better for Muslims and for the countries in which there are Muslim citizens, to allow us to practice our religion in the light of day, and not be forced to practice in unknown places, which is what occurred in France, for example.”

MORE: http://www.daily.pk/world/europe/8656-a-mosque-for-slovenias-muslims.html

Iran called upon to halt winter deportations

December 18, 2008

Afghan government officials and aid agencies are calling on the Iranian authorities to halt the deportation of Afghans from Iran during the winter for humanitarian reasons.

“Large-scale expulsions during the cold season will push our country into a humanitarian crisis,” said Abdul Matin Edrak, director of the Afghanistan National Disasters Management Authority (ANDMA).

Mass deportations will exacerbate the plight of over eight million vulnerable Afghans who are already facing hunger this winter due to a severe drought, high food prices and conflict, according to aid agencies.

The Ministry of Refugees and Repatriation (MoRR) said more than 360,000 individuals, mostly young men, have been deported from Iran in the past seven months.

Every day about 1,000 people are being deported to western Afghanistan’s Herat Province through the Islam Qala border point, provincial officials have reported. Deportees are also entering the border province of Nimruz.

No one at the Iranian embassy in Kabul was available for comment.

Iran reportedly slowed down deportations last winter – ostensibly for humanitarian reasons – but resumed the process in April.

Remittances vital

Unemployment at home and better opportunities in Iran are prompting many young Afghan men to travel to Iran illegally, using a clandestine but “well-organised human smuggling network”, according to research by the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR) and the International Labour Organization (ILO).

Afghan migrants find jobs in construction, manufacturing and agriculture, and are willing to work in onerous conditions in a bid to support their families and dependants back home.

“The overall flow of remittances, calculated on the basis of an annual rate of US$2,496 per person, is estimated at US$500 million, representing approximately 6 percent of the national GDP [gross domestic product] of Afghanistan,” said the UNHCR/ILO study launched on 7 December.

“Iranian employers prefer hiring Afghan workers because they represent a cheap, flexible and highly productive source of labour,” the study said.

More: http://www.irinnews.org/report.aspx?ReportID=82007

Mumbai chief operated in Chechnya, Bosnia and Iraq before India

December 13, 2008

Lashkar chief Hafeez Saeed remains defiant

Saturday, December 13, 2008

New Delhi: The UN Security Council has declared Lashkar-e-Taiba and its key men as terrorists, but who exactly are these men and more importantly what motivates them.

Hafeez Saeed may be one of the wanted men in the world, but on the day the UN banned the Jammat-ud-Daawa, popularly known as the front for the LeT. Its chief Hafeez Saeed was on every Pakistani channel holding a press conference from an undisclosed location claiming innocence.

“If there is evidence against us please present it in court and not to media,” said Hafiz Saeed.

Born in Shimlam, a teacher by profession, Saeed shifted to Pakistan after partition and co-founded the Markaz Dawat-ul-Irshad along with Abdullah Yusuf Azzam.

In 1990, he founded the Lashkar and became the key man behind the attacks in Jammu and Kashmir. Soon after, the Markaz-Dawat-ul-Irshad was banned but it returned as the Jammat-ud-Daawa.

Saeed and LeT have made it clear that their Jihad is not limited to Jammu and Kashmir, but that they will wage war across India.

The demolition of Babri Masjid and Gujarat riots became his fodder. According security agencies, these two events are the biggest motivators for Saeed’s recruits.

Along with Saeed, three other Lashkar operatives have also been put on the most wanted list. They are suspected to have carried out the serial train bombings in Mumbai, and the srtike on the India Parliament among many other attcks.

Zaki-ur Rehman Lakvi, a key commander from Okhara who has operated in Chechnya, Bosnia and Iraq before he turned his sights on India, is one of the Lashkar’s key planners.

The other two are Zaki-ur-Rehman and Haji Mohammed Ashraf. There are no available photographs of these men. Their role ensure funds for the LeT.

But what does the UN ban mean on the ground. After the Mumbai serial train blasts, Saeed was put under house arrest twice by Pakistan, only to be released without charges. The present arrests, Indian agencies fear, will go much the same way.

http://www.deepikaglobal.com/ENG3_sub.asp?ccode=ENG3&newscode=29571